Welcome to my blog. Come on in, pull up a chair--stay a while why don't you? It'll be my treat. "Wait a second," you are asking yourself. "Conrad doesn't blog, he makes fun of people who blog." True, reader, that is a good point. But, sometimes I like making fun of myself. I mean, studies have shown that self-depracating humour is guaranteed to get a laugh 9 out of 10 times. And in terms of chortles, chuckles, giggles, and guffaws it scores a perfect 10 out of 10.
But seriously folks. My blog will be about sports, politics, music, Dani (my wife), etc. So, let's get blogging!
Today's topic: Election Prediction.. . So, much has been made about this presidential election thing--I mean, c'mon, this things been going on for 2 years almost. Well guess what? I know who's going to win. D'ya wanna know who it is? I'll give you a hint: it is not Barack Obama.
Here is why: When all is said and done, people vote for who they would rather have a beer with. McCain's own campaign manager (almost proudly) announced recently that "this election isn't about issues." So true Rick Davis, so true. Sadly, this election (as well as every other one) will be decided by little sound bytes, the candidates' demeanor in front of a camera, irrelevant details from the candidates' past--basically anything but the major issues of the day (the economy, foreign policy, health care, energy, etc.)
The fact is, most people view McCain as more of "one of them" than Obama. Maybe it is because he reminds people of their incorrigible grandfather. Maybe its because he wears an Arizona Diamondbacks baseball cap when he goes to buy coffee. Maybe its because he keeps referring to us as "(his) friends." Maybe John comes off as more sincere somehow, I'm really not sure. But I am sure that this election is a replay of 2004. Kerry outspent Bush but it didn't matter--he was perceived as an elitist.
I don't have time to flesh out this argument right now, but rest assured, McCain will win and it won't be as close as people think it will be.
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